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Housing Market Crash? New Home Ads and the Oversupply Myth

Is an Over Supply of New Homes on the Horizon? Is an Over Supply of New Homes on the Horizon? Seeing a lot of new home builder ads lately? You're not alone. Many people are experiencing a surge in these ads on social media, leading to concerns about a potential oversupply of housing. Let's delve into the data and separate fact from fiction. Analyzing the Numbers: Population Growth vs. Rental Supply Looking at nearly 15 years of data (courtesy of Propertyology, SQM, and ABS), a clear picture emerges. Population growth has seen a substantial increase, with the nation adding approximately 6 million people. This represents a significant demand driver for housing. However, the crucial factor is the trend in rental supply. After a period of oversupply around 2010-2011, which led to higher vacancy rates (around 4%), the trend has shifted dramatically. Rental supply has seen a concerning decline. ...